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Post by Admin on Jan 23, 2015 1:27:25 GMT
Open order BABA Bear spread 112/113 IV: 0.35 IV rank: +75% 1 STD: 8.00 0.5 STD: 4.00 expected credit: 0.14 ROC: 11% Reasons for entry: 1) initiated bear spread 112/113 because due to historical past, the price already moved approx 2 std and is resisting at the 104 level. 2) High IV rank should experience IV drop towards Looking to close for 50% profit.
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Post by Admin on Jan 29, 2015 21:44:39 GMT
UPDATE JAN 30 2015,
Trade outcome: Successful. Should have let it ride to the end. Ended up closing the short strike. Profited $7 (53% of max profit).
Original Strategy: 1) Lay out implied volatility lines 2) wait for movement to IV levels 3) initiate credit spread in that direction that is 1 or more std away and outside a support/resistance area.
What worked: 1) Used IV levels that were OTM and approximately 1.5 to 2 std away from mean. 2) When the IV ranges was first calculated, you see the price moved up from a lower price point to the current price. This is a signal to do a spread in that direction.
Contingent plan: 1) If BABA broke past 112.12, the next 1 STD strike levels would be used to do a credit spread. 2) Attempt to initiate a bull put spread to convert it into an IC. This would allow to maximize ROC.
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