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Post by Admin on Jan 12, 2015 3:45:25 GMT
1) Ticker Symbol: USO 2) Chart : 3) price entry expectation and exit: Strike 17.50/17.00 Puts 4) Strategy:bull put spread 5) expected duration: 3 weeks 6) ROC: 5%. Net credit 2.91. Max loss: $50 7) IV Rank: 90%. This trade might be better for a 2 week time period. 8) IV range for the next 5 days 1 STD move: 1.28 1 STD Upper:19.56 1 STD Lower:17.00 Contingency plan: Over the next 5 days, if the upper strike is close to being pierced, I will initiate an IC spread at 0.75 to 1 STD for same period. depending on credit received. Short strike IV: 17.51 1 STD: 1.25 Lower: 16.26 - > 16.00 Upper: 18.26 -> 18.00 Expected IC STD 0.75 16.51/16.00 Put 18.50/19.50 Call Expected IC STD 1.00 16.00/15.50 Put 19.00/19.50 Call Not sure when I put this trade on. I have to start making better records. The one sided credit is a little light. I need to start making trades with higher ROC. How to do that is the hard part. At this time, I will try to put an upside spread in order to double credit received. the capital required is the same, so it's worth the try. At this point, my lower strike doesn't look too good. Contingency plan is to roll the spread downward.
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Post by Admin on Jan 13, 2015 21:57:13 GMT
Update:
The flexibility of options: Why they are better than stocks. Messed up a perfect adjustment at the end though. Remember My 17.50/17.00 Bull put spread? initial credit: 0.03 or 6% ROC Cash req for trade: $50.
Summary: So, recently USO crossed my short strike 17.50. This would mean that, on expiration, Jan 16, if USO stays below 17.50, then I would lose $50. $-0.5 x 100
What I did. 1) After it crossed the 17.50, I was able to sell my long strike 17.00 for a profit of $0.16 after commissions. +0.16. So my new break even is 1750 - 16 -12 = 1722 or 17.22. USO needs to drop below 17.22 for me to lose out. I should've left it there my other entries for bull put spreads below that would've kicked in as well. +0.16 x 100, +0.12 x 100 = 0.28 x 100
2) Instead, I opened up a short position of equivalent position size as the short strike (-100 shares) at 17.30. So, at expiration, if the stock is still under 17.50, i'd be obligated to buy someones shares for 1750 (-1750). This 1750 negates the 1730 cash received from the short position, leaving me at a net loss of -0.2. My upper break even for the trade here is, 17.58. I was trying to put a stop loss here, but was at work, and couldn't figure out how to do it on my phone. I covered the 17.30 short at 17.24 and re shorted at 17.24.
outcomes:
USO <17.50 -1750 = +100 shares +1724, =.- 100 shares (used to buy shares from the put side. net from trade: -26 Premium from options: +33 net profit: $7. Turned a losing trade into a winner.
USO > 17.60 -1760 = +100 shares +1724 = -100 shares net from trade : -36 premium from options: +33 put side.
As per strategy,I will be selling Bear call at 18.50/19.00 for credit of 0.06 or approx $4.6 after commissions. Also have order to buy 100 shares of USO @ 17.57. These steps were done to sustain the trade. For example, As long as USO remains between 17.40 and 17.60 until expiration, the value of the 17.50 short strike option will continue to drop until i can close the 17.50 position for a profit.
What I should've done is sell the long put and wait 1 or 2 days to respond. not respond on the fly.
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Post by Admin on Jan 16, 2015 20:51:29 GMT
Total credit made 0.26 per lot.
Recap:
1) Opened USO jan 16 2015 bull put spread @ 17.50/17.00 for +12.91 2) USO dropped, so I initiated contingency plan to establish a lower bull put spread at 16.00 strikes and bear call at upper strike (calculated by IV). Bull put was not filled. Bear call spread was filled and was able to close for profit of +0.12 per lot 3) I was able to close the long 17.00 put for a profit of +$0.16 per lot 4) shorted shares at 17.30 to cover the short put side, since I had sold the long. I covered at 17.23. This produced a gain of +0.04 per lot 5) I shorted shares at 17.24 again to cover the 17.50 short put and covered at 17.32. I had to close for a loss of -0.08 6) closed the 17.50 put at +0.1
total credit received approx: $0.22 Max risk on spread: 0.50 ROC: 44%
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